The beauty of pivots is their simplicity. There’s no ambiguity in the indicator as it gives you a precise set of lines of support and resistance.
Most pivot indicators only attempt to predict the current day’s price range. For this reason, the standard pivot indicator is ideal for planning short intraday trades or just optimizing an entry or exit point for a trade of any duration.
What Are Pivot Levels?
In the days before desk trading and interactive charts, traders on the floor used a set of “magic numbers” as a quick and easy reference to assess the market’s range for the day ahead. These numbers are what’s called pivot levels .
The technique was so popular because it was simple and only required the trader to remember at most seven numbers. Yet these numbers helped them to predict the most important events, namely where the price is likely to turn and the reversion point (the pivot axis).
Pivot trading is far less fashionable now that interactive charts and a plethora of new indicators are widely available. Many feel that indicators such as Bollinger bands , Fibonacci and moving averages encapsulate everything that pivot indicators do and more.
Pivot indicators do still have relevance though and one of their main advantages is their ease of use.
Calculating the values
There are numerous different formulas for calculating pivots. The most commonly used version is the standard one:
R3 - Resistance | H+2 x (Pivot – L) |
R2 - Resistance | Pivot + (H – L) |
R1 - Resistance | 2 x Pivot – L |
Pivot axis (S/R) | (H + L + C)/3 |
S1 - Support | 2 x Pivot – H |
S2 - Support | Pivot – (H – L) |
S3 - Support | L-2 x (H – Pivot) |
Where H high, L is the low and C is the close on the previous day.
The pivot axis is the average of these three points and this defines the central moment around which traders expect the day’s price action to take place. The lower levels, marked S are the support lines and the upper levels marked R are the resistance lines.
Convention wise, in forex many traders like to take the closing time point as the end of the New York session. However, I don’t see any merit in this and if you’re in a different timezone it just complicates the calculations. I always use the end of day, GMT and it works perfectly well.
The pivot calculator below calculates the pivot levels using standard, Fibonacci and the Camarilla formula. Just enter the previous day’s high, low and close:
Price Behavior Around Pivots
The chart in Figure 1 isn’t a subway map! It actually shows the pivot levels calculated across seven days. Notice how the price responds around the pivot levels. The retracements often take place at or near to the pivot supports/resistances. This is very common. If you plot a number of charts and draw the pivot levels, you’ll see this kind of hidden price action taking place again and again. This is why grid traders often use pivot levels as their entry/exit points.
The red line is the pivot axis. Think of the pivot axis as the center line of the day’s price range. Support and resistance also develops near the pivot axis, so anticipate reversals there too. It is similar to the moving average except that it has a single value for each day.
Trading With Pivot Levels
Pivot traders are effectively range traders. They tend to trade the ranges that are between the lines of support and resistance around the pivot axis. This is known as the pivot grid .
Trending markets
Pivot traders will choose a technique depending on whether the market is trending or flat. In a rising market, the pivot trader essentially trades the upward strokes of the price, but plans for reversals at the resistance levels. So for example, in an upward trend, once the price is above the pivot axis, the trader enters long with a target of the first resistance level. Once the price reaches the target, the trader exits (or holds) and waits for a clear break of the first resistance level. He then moves the target up to the next resistance.
This process continues until the trader anticipates the market is overbought , and then waits for a retracement. Figure 2 below illustrates this technique in action. Notice the “bunching” of the price activity around the pivot lines. This is very common and happens when there is a change in the ratio of buyers and sellers as the price approaches a closely watched support or resistance.
In a trend, the pivot axis itself works as the stop loss. If the intraday price descends clearly below the support at the pivot axis, a further downward retracement is expected and the trader will close long positions at that point and take the loss. In a strong upward trend, after falling the price may rebound once it hits the support levels. See Figure 2 above where this happens three times – marked with shaded boxes. For this reason, some traders place the stop loss beyond the first support level.
In a falling market, the same technique works exactly in reverse.
Flat markets
The strategy is slightly different when there is no clear direction to the market. In this case, the trader uses the pivot axis as a mean reversion point. That is, when the price moves away from the pivot axis, the trader assumes a high probability that the price will return to the pivot axis. When there is no clear trend, the trader enters long when the price is below the pivot axis and short when above. The trade entries can be placed when the price moves away from the support/resistance levels, or simply when the price deviates far enough from the pivot axis.
The figure above shows this technique in action.
This
Metatrader pivot indicator
is provided free for you to download and use:
Conclusion
Pivot points are a simple yet highly effective tool for day traders. Pivot indicators, such as the one used above define a grid of support and resistance lines. These indicators are less fashionable nowadays, yet despite this, price behavior around pivot levels suggests that many traders still use this “old school” technique.
Thanks for the article. Can you please say what is the way to deal with the reversals on the second chart (the boxes) and how do you avoid case where it falls beneath the support? And what is the difference with the 3 pivot indicators- is there a preference?
Obviously there’s no way to guarantee a reversal won’t happen! You just have to prepare for probable outcomes. If the support tests and is weak this evidence that a further downward leg is probable. Also look for any instigators for a change in direction in the latest news and look for S/R areas on higher timeframes that could trigger a reversal.
As for the choice of pivot formula I use the standard and I find a strong correlation between support/resistance from these and what actually happens on the charts. The numbers are all very close so in practice it should not make a big difference.